A bowl game on the for the Rebels against a very bad Air Force team that has only beaten Army this year. Air Force can still put up big rushing yards, but isn't that expected when you run the ball as much as they have? They are not doing it nearly as well as previous years with an average of 277 yards, and over 300/game the last 3 years. UNLV has not been able to stop the run allowing over 5 yards per carry and they are 2-18 in their last 20 road games so that's why we have them as under dogs here. However, 2 of those wins came in their last 3 games against New Mexico and Nevada two teams that Air Force lost to on the road. Air Force also was unable to capitalize against a New Mexico team that was awful vs. the run either as they just are not getting off the field on third down and in the red zone which has always been the key for a military football team. Air Force is allowing nearly 59% conversions on third downs, and 85% touch downs in the red zone. They are also poor on third downs themselves and have a -3 turnover margin, while UNLV is +4.

UNLV has a balanced offense and since Caleb Herring took over at QB (17 TD/ 4INT) they have been rolling until running into 3 good teams in their last 4 games. Still this team has come a long way and a win tonight would be huge as they would become bowl eligible. Air Force really does not have much to play for and will struggle against an offense that can run and pass. UNLV has been good on the road and even played well to open in the Big Ten. When they face a team that can't stop the run they usually win as Cornett will have a big game tonight and UNLV will become bowl eligible. I'm not worried about the snow in the forecast, and Air Force is 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Extra week of prep will help UNLV in defending the triple option. They have stopped 2 of their last 3 opponents from running the ball so I think they can do enough to win.

Where to find Freddy?